Information for the ward based on Statistics New Zealand census and population data

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Population

Historic and current population

Estimated Population of Papanui and Christchurch City, 2013-2017 (at 30 June annually)
Area 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 % change 2013-2017
Papanui 24,100 24,400 24,700 24,900 25,100 4.1%
Christchurch City 356,700 361,900 367,800 374,900 381,500 7%
Note: The estimated resident population at 30 June 2013 differs from the 5 March 2013 census count for the following reasons: The estimate takes into account residents missed by the census (net undercount); it INCLUDES residents temporarily overseas on census night; and it takes into account population change (births, deaths and migration) between March and June of the same year.

Projected population: 2013 to 2043

  • This ward's population is projected to increase from an estimated 24,100 at 30 June 2013 to 26,100 by 30 June 2043. This is an overall increase of 8.3 percent. 
  • Annual growth since 2013 has been higher than anticipated for this ward, and the estimated 2016 population (24,900) has already exceeded the projected 2018 population (24,500). 
  • For Christchurch City as a whole, the population is projected to increase by 22 percent over the same period, from 356,700 to 436,800.
  • Expand the 'Age' topic heading below to see population projections by age.
  • View projected population data(external link), including by age, for all wards (Excel, 216KB).
Population of Papanui and Christchurch City: Estimated (2013) and Projected (2018-2043)
Area 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 2038 2043
Papanui 24,100  24,500 24,700  25,200 25,600 25,900 26,100
Christchurch City  356,700  379,400  393,100  406,100  417,800  428,000  436,800
Population projections use population estimates (at 30 June 2013) as a starting point, and are an indication of future demographic change based on assumptions about future demographic behaviour. The medium series is considered by Statistics New Zealand to be the most suitable for assessing future population change.

Further information about population data

Population statistics produced by Statistics New Zealand include census counts, population estimates and population projections.

'Frequently asked questions'(external link) provides information on commonly asked questions about population statistics.

Age

Life-cycle age groups

  • The median age in 2013 was 39.7 years for people in Papanui ward. The median age in Christchurch City was 38.6 years.
  • This ward had a higher proportion of children and those aged 65 years and over than for all of Christchurch City.
  • In this ward, 19% of people were aged under 15 years, 31% were aged 15-39 years, 32% were aged 40-64 years, 11% were aged 65-79 years, and 6.3% were aged 80 years and over.
Age Group Estimates, 2013

Age Group Estimates, 2013


Age group projections, 2013(base)-2043

  • The city's population is ageing, and this is apparent in each of the 16 wards in Christchurch.
  • The population aged 65 years and over is projected to increase from 17% to 27% of Papanui ward's total population between 2013 and 2043.
  • The population aged 0-14 years is projected to decrease from 19% to 15% of the ward's total population between 2013 and 2043.
  • View estimated and projected population data, including by age, for all wards (Excel, 216KB)
Projected Age Groups, 2013(base)-2043

Projected Age Groups, 2013(base)-2043

Cultural Diversity

Ethnic groups

  • The most common ethnic group in Papanui ward is European, with 85 percent of the population identifying with this ethnic group in 2013. This compares with 84 percent for Christchurch City as a whole.
  • The next most common ethnic group in Papanui ward was Asian (8.5%), followed by Māori (8.3%), Pacific Peoples (3%)'Other' (1.8%),  and MELAA (1.1%).
  • View detailed ethnicity, birthplace and language data [Excel, 965KB].
Ethnic Groups, 2013

Ethnic Groups, 2013

Note: Includes all people who stated each ethnic group, whether as their only ethnic group or as one of several. Where a person reported more than one ethnic group, they have been counted in each applicable group. As a result percentages do not add up to 100. MELAA = Middle Eastern, Latin American and African. The vast majority of people counted in 'Other Ethnicity' recorded ''New Zealander'' on their census form.

Birthplace

  • 20 percent of people in Papanui ward were born overseas, compared with 22 percent for Christchurch City as a whole.
  • For people born overseas who are now living in Papanui ward, the most common birthplace region was the United Kingdom (1,248 people), compared with the United Kingdom for people born overseas in all of Christchurch City.
  • View detailed ethnicity, birthplace and language data [Excel, 965KB].

Languages spoken

  • After English, the next most common languages spoken in Papanui ward were te reo Māori (321 people), Tagalog (243 people), French (216), and Japanese (204 people).
  • For Christchurch City as a whole, the most common language apart from English is te reo Māori, spoken by 5,943 people (1.8 percent).
  • New Zealand Sign Language is used by 0.5 percent of people in Papanui ward, compared with 0.6 percent of people for all of Christchurch City.
  • View detailed ethnicity, birthplace and language data [Excel, 965KB].

Relationship status

Total population aged 15 years and over

  • 34 percent of people aged 15 years and over living in Papanui ward have never married, 46 percent are married, and 20 percent are separated, divorced or widowed.

  • Regardless of legal marital status, 58 percent of this ward's adult population are currently in a relationship, compared with 58 percent for Christchurch City as a whole.

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